Early communities/societies
Early communities/societies
accumulation
- prep for bad times (weather)
- commerce
- protection (army, wall)
- public works
- conquer
high priest
Mesopotamia/Sumer
tax
admin
high priest
Mesopotamia/Sumer
tax
admin
ruler
palace
The first censuses
purpose: tax collection, "men fit to military service"
characteristics: periodical, only men
Egypt, Greece, Rome, Israel, China
Book of Numbers 1:3: God orders Moses and Aron to take census on all tribes, clans and families of Israel, 20 years or more men.
purpose: war
Total number of men older than 20: 603 550 (- the tribe of Levi)
census = censere = estimate
censor = a magistrate who supervises the census
basic population count and public relation with the population in order to make them "readable" (James C. Scott)
Liber Censuum - real estate revenues of the papacy
1086 - Domesday Book - tax
1328 - L'État de paroisses et de feux
16-17. century
Bills of mortality: weekly, bi-weekly - burial monitoring system on causes of death
John Graunt - 1662
The first in-depth analysis of demographic data
16-17. century
William Petty: Political arithmetick 1662-
First mathematical analysis of economic data
16-17. century
Jean Talon - Census of New France 1666
- not only basic demographic data
- criminal acts
- profession
- wealth
- marital status
- wealth
- language
- ethnicity
- religion
in order to: tax, state admin, urban design
18. century - the rise of statistics
statistics = from the Italian word statista, statisticum collegium
Ghirolamo Ghillini 1589: facts and information about the state
Joachim Achenwall, 1749: statistik = the science of state
England: political arithmetic
Statistical/mathematical methods earlier: Petty, Huygens, Fermat, Bernoulli
Two schools: descriptive statistics vs. mathematical
School of Göttingen (continental)
English political arithmetic
18. century - the rise of statistics
1719: The first modern population census, Prussia, Frederick William I (soldatenkönig), Prussia: Garrison State
1768: Spain
1784: Habsburg Monarchy
1801: France, England (Malthus)
19. century - anthropometrics
Adolphe Quetelet
- Belgian astronomer, statistician
- the society can be described, analysed and calculated as physics (physique sociale)
- L'homme moyen (average/normal man), 1835
Knowing the average man is the key to producing and educating a man free from extremism. Hence, a society and state free of human extremism is easier to govern, easier to control.
- "normal distribution curve of the society"
- "mean values = ideal values"
19. century - anthropometrics
Francis Galton
- English polymath
- "nature vs. nurture", correlation
- eugenics: based on the misunderstood natural selection theory of Darwin (his half cousin). "Negative traits (colour, height, criminality, disobedience, "stupidity", "cretinism", etc.) resulting from the inherited genes of man can be corrected at the social level by means of programmes. Positive eug: encouraging "superior" members of society to have more children. Negative: encouraging the "abnormal" to have fewer children or forbidding them to have children - sterilization"
19. century - control state
Prussia, France: spy network based on demographics
Prison (Panopticon) - Jeremy Bentham/Foucault
Loic Wacquant: "prison/punishment societies" / "creation of underclass"
Roger Clarke: "dataveillance" 1988
Beniger: Control revolution
stasi: 100k, KGB 1 million people in mass surveillance
19. century - bad planning
Soviet Union: social engineering, holodomor, Lysenkoism
Bangladesh: centralization vs. decentralization