Brandon Williams
Alistair Wilson
Richard Van Weelden
Demand for Bad Policy Workshop
Bolzano
July 2025
Models of similar bargaining forms have been proposed in theory...
And used in experiments...
More recently: Kartik, Kleiner, Van Weelden (2021)
More recently: Kartik, Kleiner, Van Weelden (2021)
0
1
Proposer
\(y\)
\(\theta\)
Vetoer
\(\theta\)
Vetoer
0
1
Proposer
0
1
Proposer, ideal
\(\tfrac{y}{2}\)
Offer \(y\)
These types veto
These types choose \(y\)
0
1
Proposer, ideal
\(\tfrac{y}{2}\)
Offer \(y\)
These \(\theta\)-types veto
These \(\theta\)-types choose offer
\(z=y\)
\(z=0\)
0
1
Proposer, ideal
\(\tfrac{y}{2}\)
Offer \(y\)
Suboptimal: Inefficient outcome, as \(\theta>y\), so higher outcome preferred by both
Breakdown: Inefficient as \(\theta>0\) preferred by both
0
1
\(\tfrac{y}{2}\)
\(z=0\)
\(z=y\)
\(y\)
\(f(\theta)\)
0
1
\(\tfrac{y}{2}\)
\(z=0\)
\(z=y\)
\(y\)
\(f(\theta)\)
\(\theta\)
Vetoer
0
1
Proposer
0
1
\(\tfrac{y}{2}\)
Offer \(\left[y,1\right]\)
These types veto \(z=0\)
These types choose \(z=y\)
These types choose \(z=\theta\)
\(y\)
0
1
\(\tfrac{y}{2}\)
Offer \(\left[y,1\right]\)
\(y\)
No Suboptimality: Delegation option ensures this
Breakdown: Inefficient as \(\theta>0\) preferred by both, but smaller region than TIOLI
0
1
\(\tfrac{y}{2}\)
\(y\)
\(f(\theta)\)
0
1
\(\tfrac{y}{2}\)
\(y\)
\(f(\theta)\)
0
1
\(\tfrac{y}{2}\)
\(y\)
\(f(\theta)\)
0
1
\(\tfrac{y}{2}\)
\(y\)
\(f(\theta)\)
0
1
\(\tfrac{y}{2}\)
\(y\)
\(f(\theta)\)
State introduced via an Urn
Delegation treatment:
offer a range
Take it or leave it:
single offer
| No Chat | Chat | |
|---|---|---|
| TIOLI | N=66 |
N=60 |
| Delegation | N=64 |
N=66 |
| Dist. | TIOLI | Delegation |
|---|---|---|
| Low | -12% | 0% |
| Middle | 7% | 10% |
| High | 18% | 18% |
Relative to full delegation:
So we should see a decreasing gain to seller as the distribution shifts
| Dist. | Breakdown | Suboptimal | Breakdown | Suboptimal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Low | 55% | 5% | 0% | 0% |
| Middle | 25% | 10% | 25% | 0% |
| High | 25% | 0% | 25% | 0% |
TIOLI
Delegation
So we a decrease in efficiency between TIOLI and Delegation, and the disappearance of suboptimal positive outcomes
Low
Middle
High
Low
Middle
High
Minimal offer in interval:
TIOLI
Delegation
Low
Middle
High
In the No Communication games we find that:
TIOLI
Delegation
TIOLI
Delegation
| Dist. | TIOLI | Delegation |
|---|---|---|
| Low | -12% | 0% |
| Middle | 7% | 10% |
| High | 18% | 18% |
Theory relative to full delegation:
| Dist. | TIOLI | Delegation |
|---|---|---|
| Low | -14% | 1% |
| Middle | -7% | 4% |
| High | 3% | -7% |
Actual:
We find that:
TIOLI
Delegation
TIOLI
Delegation
Low
Middle
High
Chat
No Chat
Low
Middle
High
Chat
No Chat
| Dist. | TIOLI | Delegation |
|---|---|---|
| Low | -14% | +1% |
| Middle | -7% | +4% |
| High | +3% | -7% |
Without Chat:
| Dist. | TIOLI | Delegation |
|---|---|---|
| Low | +20% | +13% |
| Middle | +13% | 0% |
| High | +8% | +5% |
With Chat:
We find that:
At the end of the experiment the participants make choices across a number of decision problems:
Using the decision problems we can begin to understand where deviations are coming from:
So far the results are only preliminary but: