Winter School in Political Economy

Lecture 4

Liberal order

Liberal order

  • Anarchy
  • Cooperation
  • Liberal instituions
  • Constraints and incentives

Liberal order

  • Is it true?
  • End of the Cold War
    • decline in military conflict
    • rise in the number of and membership in IOs
    • wave of democratisation
    • humanitarian revolution underpinned by social progress

Economic sanctions

  • Less war not equal to less conflict
  • Economic sanctions increased tremendously
    • UN over 30 post-Cold War and 2 during Cold War
    • China, Australia and the WHO

Economic Sanctions

  • War going out of style
  • But not conflict in international relations

 

  • We may question the premise that liberal institutions bring cooperation and peace
  • And ask what drives the rise of economic sanctions

Democracy

  • No economic peace
  • Domestic audience benefit & cost
  • More successful threats
     
  • Incentives and constraints likely to accelerate the use of economic sanctions

International organsiations

  • Conditions for consensus on multilateral coercion
    • two-level game
    • reciprocity
    • reputation
  • Extend economic and diplomatic ties
    • more successful threats

Economic sanctions

  • Why more sanction?
    • incentives and constraints for democratic leaders
    • conditions created by IOs
  • Democracy and IO may reduce military conflict, but also increase economic coercion
  • The liberal premise holds only in the domain of war

Summary

  • Exercise of power is rechannelled, not vanishing, as a result of the liberal institutions
     
  • Decline of the liberal order may be, to a part, a product of it

Thank you and see you in the Q&A