shouldIbake.com:

Forecasting low carbon electricity supply and electricity demand in GB to facilitate the scheduling of intenxive activities, i.e. Baking!

 

Ed Sharp:

ed.sharp@ucl.ac.uk | www.esenergyvis.wordpress.com | @steadier_eddy

 

  • Python data extraction
    • National Grid - embedded wind and solar generation - to 7 days
    • Elexon - transmission system wind generation to 2 days
    • Elexon - 1 day hourly demand, 7 days peak demand
    • Peak demand and previous weeks demand used to project hourly demand
    • Therefore 2 days of hourly low carbon generation and electricity demand
  • Web interface
    • Translates the above data to a message which is easily understood by user
    • In this case "Should I bake"
    • Simple yes no message
    • Greater sophistication and other uses possible

Brief Description

Example outputs 1.

Example outputs 2.

Example outputs 3.

Example outputs 4.

Future Iterations

  • Simulate transmission generation to extend timescale
    • using proof of concept model
  • More sophisticated message
    • e.g. tiered scheduling
    • Auto scheduling via smart home
  • Add other generation
    • e.g. biomass, Hydro, Nuclear?
    • European power?
  • Advertising
  • Commercial power scheduling
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