The most dangerous town (in fiction)

a statistical risk calculation for horror, normalized for population and duration

Real Life

World avg

US avg

LA

0.005%

99.6%

99.5%

99.6%

0.005% 

0.006%

Chance of living* 75 yrs

avg % of pop killed/yr

*chance of not dying from cause of "excess" death (murder, supernatural, etc). Neglected all aspects common to "normal" populations

* (as calculated from homicide deaths / yr and population estimates) 

Pros:

- Mike Myers, hide-n-seek champion

Avoid if:

- You are a babysitter, plan to become a babysitter, or date a babysitter

0.014%

99.0%

Haddonfield, Il

found him!

101 deaths in 24 yrs

(not counting Rob Zombie remakes and after)

Pros:

- "A Nice Place to Live"

- great place for a 24hr coffee shop

Avoid if:

- You have narcolepsy

- You have or want kids

0.015%

98.9%

Springwood, Ohio

34 deaths in15 yrs

Pros:

- good sewer system

- great architecture

- Pennywise probably available for parties

Avoid if:

- You're under ~13 yrs old

0.030%

97.8%

Derry, Maine

9 deaths in 1 yr

(Bangor)

0.051%

96.2%

Raccoon City, ?

Pros:

  • Milla Jovovich
  • + clones

Cons:

- t-virus

- corporate-run oligarchy, is it so different than here?

970 deaths in 19 yrs

7 film series, skewed by only counting on-screen deaths

0.057%

95.8%

Silent Hill (Centralia, Penn.) - movies

Pros:

- dance troupe ready

Cons:

102 deaths in 6 yrs

Amity Island, Mass.

0.066%

95.2%

Pros:

- opening to be replacement salty sea dog weirdo

- prob easy to find an abandoned boat

- minimal law enforcement

Cons:

- Summer tourists

- mayor's a dick

12 deaths in 2 yrs

Con:

- If you're going to die in a slasher, do you really want it to be this one?

0.090%

93.5%

Woodsboro, CA

Pros:

- Matthew Lillard

63 deaths in 27 yrs

Crescent Cove, CA

0.098%

92.9%

48 deaths in 1 yrs

filmed in Santa Cruz (1988)

Pros:

- funnier than actual clowns

Cons:

- nightmare for Coulrophobes

Lake Placid, Maine

0.140%

90%

Pros:

- Betty White

- Great story to tell if you're part of Fish & Game Service

40 deaths in 13 yrs

Cabot Cove, Maine

0.140%

90.0%

Pros:

- catchy theme song

Cons:

- hard to find somewhere open for dinner after 8pm

60 deaths in 12 yrs

Castle Rock, Maine

0.156%

89%

Cons:

- your fate linked to Stephen King's mental state

The Dead Zone, Cujo, The Body, Uncle Otto's Truck, The Dark Half, The Sun Dog, Needful Things

Pros:

- Maine is lovely

28 deaths in 12 yrs

Kingston Falls, Penn.

0.220%

84.8%

Suspiciously familiar town....

Cons:

- town likely to adopt strict pet ownership laws

- high risk of traumatic chimney cleaning

Pros:

- sole source of Peltzer Inventions:

"Fantastic ideas for a fantastic world. I make the illogical logical."

22 deaths in 1 yr

0.239%

Using original population before studio exec interference (5,120) ... too many small towns on TV

83.6%

Twin Peaks, WA

(North Bend)

49 deaths in 4 yrs

sucks to die here, all anyone ever remembers is Laura...

(Fire Walk with Me + two seasons)

Sunnydale, CA

0.342%

77.3%

Pros:

- high chance of zaney adventures, if you can make it past one season

- decent bar/coffee shop/venue

Cons:

- high chance of world's worst brow furrow prior to cheesy "turning to dust" effect

Verdict: worth it for the musical episode

718 deaths in 7 yrs

Hawkins, In

0.427%

72.6%

Note:

Chance of death strongly depends on your DnD party

320 deaths in 6 yrs

Crystal Lake, NJ

Just go camping elsewhere

 

0.656%

61.1%

highest death count of the slashers

(not counting times Jason has died)

118 deaths in 9 yrs

only counting first 8 movies, nothing after Jason Takes Manhatten

used population of Hope, NJ filming location

Antonio Bay, CA (Point Reyes Station)

0.708%

58.7%

Pros:

Cons:

6 deaths in 1 yr

Cuesta Verde, CA

Pros:

- No need to use psychedelics

- Never been a better time in the US to join a creepy religious cult

- TV static is non-issue now

Cons:

- It's always a bad trip

- Call before you dig!

Bonus:

- House sold (2024) $1.2mil

- pool was finally completed

1.3%

37.5% - event was one-off?

13 deaths in 1 yr

LV-462: Hadley's Hope

Pros:

- Another successful colony brought to you by Weyland Yutani

- great opportunity for an exobiologist

- should be fine if you're synthetic

Cons:

- likely to become living host for xenomorph ... game over, man

99.367%

~0%

157 deaths in 1 yr

Hobb's End, Mass.

Pros:

- Sam Neill

- excellent school system (Miskatonic U)

- with this many deaths, doesn't really matter where you live

Cons:

- everyone on Earth dies, save 1

- psychological horrors beyond imagination

avg % of pop killed: 99.999+%

~0% chance of living 75 yrs

5,675,514,219 deaths in 1 yr