Management of Low & Favorable Intermediate Risk Prostate Cancer

A Case-Based Review of Evidence-Based Management

Clinical case

 

  • 65-year-old man presents for discussion of management options
  • Good performance status, no significant comorbidities
  • PSA 7.5 ng/mL
  • Digital rectal exam: T1c, 30g prostate, no nodules

Initial workup

 

  • History & physical examination
    • Family history
    • Performance status
    • Urinary symptoms (AUA score/IPSS)
    • Sexual function (SHIM score)

 

  • Laboratory studies
    • PSA, 4K score (upgraded PSA)
      • calculate PSA density to account for prostate volume >0.15-0.2 is abnormal
    • Consider testosterone level

IPSS Score

Mild (symptom score less than of equal to 7)

Moderate (symptom score range 8-19)

Severe (symptom score range 20-35)

SHIM Score

Prostate MRI

Used for guidance of biopsy and treatment MRI screening and guided biopsy has become the standard of care

Biopsy

Biopsy

Pathology - Gleason Score

Cribriform pattern is a highly predictive of early metastasis.... but requires confidence in your pathologist

Risk stratification

G: Because of the increased sensitivity and specificity of PSMA-PET tracers for detecting micrometastatic disease compared to conventional imaging (eg, CT, bone scan) at both initial staging and BCR, the panel does not feel that conventional imaging is a necessary prerequisite to PSMA-PET and that PSMA-PET/CT or PSMA-PET/ MRI can serve as an equally effective, if not more effective frontline imaging tool for these patients.

Risk stratification

risk assessment tools

Partin tables:

  • Predicts pathologic stage based on:
    • Clinical stage
    • PSA
    • Gleason score
  • Helps estimate risk of:
    • Organ-confined disease
    • Extracapsular extension
    • Seminal vesicle involvement
    • Lymph node metastasis

Memorial Sloan Kettering nomogram:

  • Predicts probability of:
    • PSA recurrence after surgery
    • Lymph node involvement
    • Seminal vesicle invasion
  • Available online at nomograms.mskcc.org

 

The Roach formula

Mack Roach III

UCSF


1990s - derived from the Partin nomogram to predict lymph node involvement.

  • Risk of lymph node involvement:
    • 2/3 PSA + (Gleason score - 6) × 10
    • Used historically to guide pelvic nodal radiation
  • Risk of extracapsular extension:
    • 3/2 PSA + (Gleason score - 3) × 10
  • Risk of seminal vesicle involvement:
    • PSA + (Gleason score - 6) × 10


Historical context:

  • Developed before widespread use of modern imaging
  • May overestimate risk compared to modern series
  • Still used in some clinical trial eligibility criteria
  • Being replaced by more accurate tools like PSMA PET

 

CApra-S

UCSF

Risk of recurrence post-prostatectomy

Predict Prostate was first validated using a dataset of another 3,000 prostate cancer patients from the Eastern England data

2,546 men from a separate independent dataset from Singapore and followed up for a median of 5.1 years.

69,206 men from prostate cancer data base Sweden in 2020 with 13.9 years of median follow-up

171 942 men of diverse ethnicities from the US SEER database ( Lee at al in 2021). Here Predict Prostate maintained a high discrimination index of 0.82.

Advanced risk assessment tools

Genomic classifiers: Evidence

Decipher:

  • 22-gene expression classifier
  • Predicts:
    • Risk of metastasis
    • Prostate cancer-specific mortality
    • PREDICT-RT (ongoing)
      • Trial to determine length of ADT for high risk patients

Oncotype DX GPS:

  • 17-gene expression panel
  • Predicts:
    • Adverse pathology
    • Biochemical recurrence
    • Metastasis

Others:

  • Prolaris
  • ProMark
Notes:
  • Most validated in post-prostatectomy setting
  • Emerging data in radiation therapy
  • May help guide active surveillance decisions
  • Consider in borderline cases where treatment intensification is being considered

 

How to use Decipher

Management options

Low risk and Intermediate risk

Watchful Waiting

Active surveillance

  • Preferred for very low & low risk
  • Option for favorable intermediate risk

External beam radiation

  • Conventional fractionation
  • Moderate hypofractionation
  • SBRT
  • +/- ADT (for unfavorable)

Brachytherapy

  • LDR monotherapy
  • HDR monotherapy
  • Combined EBRT + Brachytherapy (ASCENDE-RT)

Surgery

  • Radical prostatectomy
    • Nerve-sparing approach when possible

Treatment selection algorithm

Low risk disease:

  • First choice: Active surveillance
    • Especially if life expectancy <10 years
    • Must be compliant with monitoring
  • If treatment desired:
    • External beam RT: 60 Gy/20 fx or 70 Gy/28 fx
    • SBRT if technically feasible: 36.25 Gy/5 fx
    • LDR brachytherapy if good urinary function
    • Surgery if patient preference

Favorable intermediate risk:

  • Active surveillance reasonable option
  • External beam RT without ADT
    • 60 Gy/20 fx or 70 Gy/28 fx
    • SBRT
  • LDR/HDR monotherapy if eligible
  • Surgery ± nerve sparing

Unfavorable intermediate risk:

  • External beam RT + 4-6 months ADT
  • Surgery with node sampling consideration
  • Combined EBRT + Brachytherapy
    • Not ideal for brachytherapy monotherapy

Key factors in treatment selection

Patient factors:

  • Age and life expectancy
  • Comorbidities
  • Urinary function (IPSS score)
  • Sexual function priorities
  • Ability to tolerate procedures
  • Treatment preferences

Disease factors:

  • Risk group classification
  • Percent positive cores
  • Prostate size
  • MRI findings if available

Treatment considerations:

  • Local expertise available
  • Technical feasibility
    • Prostate size for brachytherapy (<60cc)
    • Image guidance capability
    • Treatment duration impact
  • Quality metrics of treating physician

 

Low & Favorable Intermediate Risk Prostate Cancer Treatment Algorithm

Initial Diagnosis Low/Favorable Intermediate Risk Prostate Cancer
Life Expectancy Assessment
Life Expectancy <5 years
Active Surveillance Preferred
Life Expectancy >10 years
Risk Group
Low Risk
Patient Preference
Active Surveillance
PSA q3-6 months
Annual exam
Interval biopsy
Definitive Treatment
EBRT
60 Gy/20 fx or
70 Gy/28 fx
SBRT
36.25 Gy/5 fx
Brachytherapy
If good urinary function
Prostate <60cc
Favorable Intermediate
Patient Factors
Good Urinary Function
All Options Available
EBRT without ADT
Brachytherapy
Surgery
Poor Urinary Function
Surgery
EBRT possible also
No brachytherapy

Monitoring schedule:

  • Confirmatory testing in 6-12 months (if no prostate MRI performed prior to diagnosis)
    • prostate biopsy,
    • mpMRI with calculation of PSA density
    • molecular tumor analysis

Then

  • PSA every 6 months
  • Digital rectal exam every 12 months
  • Increased PSA or DRE change
    • repeat mpMRI, no more often than every 12 months
    • repeat prostate biopsy, if indicated by MRI or PSA change:
      • No more than every 12 months
      • Subsequent biopsies every 2-5 years
  • transitioned to observation when life expectancy is <10 years


Triggers for intervention:

  • Grade group progression (Gleason ≥7)
  • Significant increase in tumor volume
  • Patient preference

 

Active surveillance: Protocol

Management options overview

Treatment modalities:

  • Active surveillance
    • Preferred for low risk (category 1)
    • Option for favorable intermediate risk
  • Radical prostatectomy
    • Open, laparoscopic, or robotic
    • Consider nerve-sparing approach
  • External beam radiation
    • Conventional fractionation
    • Moderate hypofractionation
    • SBRT in selected patients
  • Brachytherapy
    • LDR or HDR monotherapy



Which option is best for our 65-year-old with Gleason 3+4=7 cancer?

 

Radical prostatectomy:

Patient selection

Ideal candidates:

  • Life expectancy >10 years
  • Good performance status
  • No major comorbidities
  • Acceptable surgical risk
  • Motivated to undergo surgery


Relative contraindications:

  • Prior extensive pelvic surgery
  • Morbid obesity
  • Large prostate size (>100g)
  • Prior pelvic radiation
  • Significant medical comorbidities


Special considerations:

  • Patient preferences regarding side effects
  • Surgeon experience/volume
  • Nerve-sparing feasibility

 

Radical prostatectomy:

Patient selection

Surgical approach options:

  • Open retropubic
  • Robotic-assisted
  • Laparoscopic
  • Similar oncologic outcomes across approaches


Keys to successful surgery:

  • Good surgical exposure
  • Careful apex dissection
  • Preservation of urethral sphincter
  • Water-tight anastomosis
  • Nerve-sparing when appropriate
  •  

Quality metrics:

 

Pelvic lymph node dissection ?

Current evidence:

  • No proven therapeutic benefit in low/favorable intermediate risk
  • Risk of lymph node involvement <5%
  • NCCN guidelines: Not recommended


Supporting data:

  • German trial (Steiner 2008)
    • N=100 low/intermediate risk
    • No positive nodes found
  • SEER analysis (Bhuller 2020)
    • No survival benefit
    • Increased complications

Potential complications:

  • Lymphocele
  • Deep vein thrombosis
  • Increased operative time
  • Lymphedema

 

Radiation Treatment

CT simulation and patient setup

Patient preparation:

  • Bladder filling protocol
    • Drink half a liter of water 30-60 min before
    • Hold for simulation
  • Bowel protocol
    • Empty rectum before simulation
    • Consider fleet enema

Setup:

  • Supine position
  • Custom immobilization
    • Vacuum lock bag or comparable
  • Consider fiducial markers
    • At least 3 non-coplanar
    • Wait >1 week post placement

Imaging:

  • CT slice thickness ≤3mm
  • Consider MRI fusion
  • Consider spacer placement

 

Target volumes and contouring guidelines

Target volumes (PROFIT):

  • GTV = prostate only
  • CTV determination:
    • If SV risk >15% : prostate + proximal 1cm SV
    • Otherwise: prostate only
  • PTV margins:
    • 7mm posterior (towards rectum)
    • 10mm all other directions
    • 5mm posterior reasonable off-trial


OAR delineation:

  • Rectum: whole organ from ischial tuberosities to rectosigmoid junction
  • Bladder: whole organ
  • Penile bulb: best seen on sagittal view
  • Femoral heads: to ischial tuberosities


Special considerations:

  • Prostate apex at GU diaphragm
  • MRI fusion helps delineation
  • PROFIT used 3mm wall vs. whole organ for bladder

 

Treatment planning guidelines

Dose options:

  • Moderate hypofractionation:
    • 60 Gy/20 fx (PROFIT/CHHiP)
    • 70 Gy/28 fx (RTOG 0415)
  • Conventional:
    • 78-79.2 Gy/39-44 fx


Planning priorities:

  • 95% of PTV to prescribed dose
  • 99.5% of CTV to prescribed dose
  • Minimize hot spots >107-115%
  • Daily IGRT required

 

ADT in intermediate risk: Who benefits?

Unfavorable intermediate risk factors:

  • Primary Gleason pattern 4
  • ≥50% positive cores
  • Multiple intermediate risk factors

Key evidence:

  • D'Amico (DFCI):
    • 6 months ADT improved OS in intermediate risk
    • Gleason 7 showed most benefit
  • PROFIT:
    • Excellent outcomes without ADT
    • Favorable intermediate only
  • RTOG 0815:
    • 79.2 Gy ± 6 months ADT
    • Results pending

Current recommendations:

  • Consider 4-6 months ADT for unfavorable
  • Can omit for favorable intermediate
  • Safe with hypofractionation

 

Short-term ADT: Duration & timing

Duration evidence:

  • 3 vs 6 months:
    • No randomized comparison
    • Most modern trials use 4-6 months
  • Timing options:
    • Neoadjuvant + concurrent
    • Concurrent + adjuvant
    • Similar outcomes in retrospective data
  • Testosterone recovery:
    • ~12 months after 6 months ADT
    • Faster with shorter duration

 

PSA monitoring after treatment

After external beam RT:

  • PSA q3-6 months for 5 years, then annually
  • Phoenix definition of failure:
    • Nadir + 2 ng/mL
    • Requires confirmation
  • PSA bounce phenomenon:
    • Common in years 1-2
    • More common in younger patients
    • Usually <2 ng/mL rise
    • Returns to nadir within 6-12 months


After brachytherapy:

  • Similar schedule to EBRT
  • PSA decline more gradual
  • Bounces more common
  • Can take 3-5 years to reach nadir


Management of rise:

  • Consider timing/magnitude
  • Rule out bounce in first 2 years
  • Consider imaging if confirmed failure

 

Evidence

Active surveillance: Key evidence

PROTECT Trial

Performed in the UK with the support the NHS

  • 15-year outcomes comparing active monitoring vs. surgery vs. radiation
  • No difference in prostate cancer mortality
  • 15-year results:
    • PCM: 2.2% vs. 1.5% vs. 2.1%
    • Metastasis: 7.1% vs. 3.5% vs. 3.7%
    • Overall mortality: Similar (~15%)


 

 

Study Design: PROTECT

1643 men with localized prostate cancer
77% Gleason 6, 20% Gleason 7
Median age: 62 years, 76% T1c disease
Active Monitoring
PSA every 3 months (1 year)
PSA every 6-12 months
Radical Prostatectomy
Nerve-sparing when possible
External Beam RT
74 Gy in 37 fractions
3-6 months ADT
Primary Endpoint: Prostate Cancer Mortality

15-year outcomes:

  • Prostate cancer mortality
    • Active monitoring: 2.2%
    • Surgery: 1.5%
    • Radiation: 2.1%
    • No significant differences
  • Distant metastases
    • Active monitoring: 7.1%
    • Surgery: 3.5%
    • Radiation: 3.7%
    • p<0.05 for both vs monitoring
  • Overall mortality
    • Similar across all arms (~15%)


Clinical progression at 10 years:

  • Active monitoring: 20%
  • Surgery: 5.9%
  • Radiation: 6.6%

 

PROTECT trial: Quality of life outcomes

Urinary function:

  • Surgery
    • Worst incontinence (20% pad use)
    • Persists long-term
  • Radiation
    • More irritative symptoms
    • Peaks at 6 months
    • Improves over time

Sexual function:

  • Surgery
    • 85% ED at 6 months
    • Worst long-term function
  • Radiation
    • 74% ED at 6 months
    • Improves after ADT cessation
  • Active monitoring
    • Natural age-related decline

Bowel function:

  • Worse with radiation
  • 6% bloody stools
  • Minimal impact with surgery

 

Active surveillance: Additional evidence

Johns Hopkins Experience (Tosoian 2015)

  • Very low risk cohort
  • 15-year outcomes:
    • Overall survival: 69%
    • Cancer-specific survival: 99.9%
    • Metastasis-free survival: 99.4%
    • Grade reclassification: 31%

 

CHHiP trial: Study design

Patient population:

  • 3216 patients
  • T1b-T3aN0M0
  • 15% low risk, 73% intermediate risk, 12% high risk
  • PSA <30

Treatment arms:

  • Conventional: 74 Gy/37 fx
  • Hypofractionated: 60 Gy/20 fx
  • Hypofractionated: 57 Gy/19 fx


Key aspects:

  • Non-inferiority design
  • Most patients received 3-6 months ADT
  • Primary endpoint: biochemical/clinical failure
  • Dose constraints:
    • Rectum V20<85%, V30<57%, V40<38%
    • Bladder V60<5%, V48.6<25%

 

3216 patients
T1b-T3aN0M0, PSA <30
15% low risk, 73% intermediate risk, 12% high risk
Conventional RT
74 Gy in 37 fractions
Hypofractionated RT
60 Gy in 20 fractions
Hypofractionated RT
57 Gy in 19 fractions

CHHiP trial: Key results

Efficacy outcomes:

  • 5-year biochemical control
    • 74 Gy: 88%
    • 60 Gy: 91% (non-inferior)
    • 57 Gy: 86% (not non-inferior)
  • 10-year outcomes
    • BC: 76% vs 80% vs 73%
    • OS: ~80% all arms

Toxicity:

  • Acute effects peaked earlier with hypofractionation
  • Late GI Grade 2+: ~12% all arms
  • Late GU Grade 2+: 6.6-11.7%

Conclusions:

  • 60 Gy/20 fx non-inferior to conventional
  • 57 Gy/19 fx not recommended
  • Similar late toxicity profile

 

PROFIT trial: Study design

Patient population:

  • 1206 intermediate risk patients
  • T1-T2
  • No ADT allowed


Treatment arms:

  • Conventional: 78 Gy/39 fx
  • Hypofractionated: 60 Gy/20 fx


Important features:

  • Non-inferiority design
  • Strict dose constraints used
  • Rectal wall constraints (not whole organ):
    • D30% <46 Gy
    • D50% <37 Gy
  • Treatment time: 8 weeks vs 4 weeks


Primary endpoint:

  • Biochemical-clinical failure

 

1206 Intermediate-Risk Patients
T1-T2, No ADT Allowed
Conventional RT
78 Gy in 39 fractions
Treatment time: 8 weeks
Hypofractionated RT
60 Gy in 20 fractions
Treatment time: 4 weeks
Primary Endpoint: Biochemical-Clinical Failure

PROFIT trial: Key results

Efficacy:

  • 5-year biochemical failure: 15% both arms
  • Met non-inferiority endpoint
  • No difference in patterns of failure


Toxicity:

  • Acute GI:
    • Worse with hypofractionation
    • Resolved by 6 months
  • Late toxicity:
    • No difference in GI or GU
    • Grade ≥2 GI: ~14% both arms
    • Grade ≥2 GU: ~22% both arms


Key implications:

  • Established 60 Gy/20 fx as standard option
  • Important role of strict dose constraints
  • Safe without ADT in intermediate risk

 

RTOG 0415: Study design

Patient population:

  • 1092 low risk patients
  • T1-2a
  • PSA ≤10
  • Gleason ≤6


Treatment arms:

  • Conventional: 73.8 Gy/41 fx
  • Hypofractionated: 70 Gy/28 fx


Protocol details:

  • Non-inferiority design
  • ~80% used IMRT
  • Daily IGRT required
  • No ADT allowed
  • 5mm margins (3mm posterior)


Dose constraints:

  • Rectum: V75<15%, V70<25%, V65<35%, V60<50%
  • Bladder: V80<15%, V75<25%, V70<35%, V65<50%
  • Femoral heads: V50<5%

 

RTOG 0415: 

1092 Low-Risk Patients
T1-T2a, PSA ≤10, Gleason ≤6
Conventional RT
73.8 Gy in 41 fractions
Hypofractionated RT
70 Gy in 28 fractions

RTOG 0415: Outcomes

Efficacy:

  • 5-year disease-free survival
    • Conventional: 85%
    • Hypofractionated: 86%
    • Met non-inferiority endpoint
  • 12-year outcomes
    • DFS: 56% vs 62%
    • BF: 83% vs 90%
    • No OS difference

Toxicity:

  • Late grade ≥2 GI: 15.4% vs 23.8%
  • Late grade ≥2 GU: 26.8% vs 33.4%
  • Late grade ≥3 GI: 3.2% vs 4.4%
  • Late grade ≥3 GU: 3.4% vs 4.4%


Patient-reported outcomes:

  • No difference in:
    • EPIC GI/GU domains
    • Sexual function
    • Anxiety/depression

 

ASCENDE-RT Trial: Study Design

Inclusion Criteria:

  • Population: Intermediate- or high-risk prostate cancer (NCCN-defined).
    • Intermediate-risk: T2b-T2c, PSA 10-20 ng/mL, or Gleason Score = 7.
    • High-risk: T3a+, PSA >20 ng/mL, or Gleason Score ≥8.
  • Performance Status: ECOG 0-2.
  • Eligible for Treatment: Whole-pelvis radiation therapy + ADT + either DE-EBRT or LDR-PB.
  • Informed Consent: Signed before enrollment.

Exclusion Criteria:

  • Disease Characteristics:
    • T3b+ disease, PSA >40 ng/mL.
    • Prior pelvic RT or surgery (e.g., TURP).
    • Prostate volume >75 cm³ post-ADT.
  • Health Factors: Ineligibility for anesthesia or contraindications to ADT/RT.
  • Advanced Disease: Evidence of nodal or distant metastases on imaging.
398 High and Intermediate-Risk Prostate Cancer Patients
All Patients: 1-Year ADT + 46 Gy/23 fractions Whole-Pelvis Radiation
Dose-Escalated EBRT Arm
32 Gy Boost (Total: 78 Gy)
LDR-PB Arm
115 Gy I-125 Brachytherapy Boost

ASCENDE-RT Trial: Results

Clinical Implications:

  • Benefits: Significant improvement in biochemical control with LDR-PB.
  • Challenges: Increased GU toxicity and no significant difference in OS, CSS, or DMFS.
  • LDR-PB may be suitable for patients prioritizing biochemical control and delaying ADT.
  • Alternative modalities, such as SBRT or HDR, offer reduced toxicity with similar survival outcomes.
Endpoint LDR-PB DE-EBRT p-value
10-Year bPFS 85% 67% < 0.001
10-Year DMFS 88% 86% 0.56
10-Year OS 80% 75% 0.51
10-Year CSS 95% 92% 0.26

ASCENDE-RT Trial: Results

Toxicity Findings:

  • Genitourinary (GU): 5-year grade 3 GU toxicity: 18% (LDR-PB) vs. 5% (DE-EBRT), p < 0.001.
  • Gastrointestinal (GI): 5-year grade 3 GI toxicity: 8% (LDR-PB) vs. 3% (DE-EBRT), p = 0.12.
  • Erectile Function: Preservation at 5 years: 45% (LDR-PB) vs. 37% (DE-EBRT), p = 0.30.

LDR brachytherapy: Evidence base

MDACC experience (Frank 2018):

  • 300 intermediate risk patients
  • Technical details:
    • I-125: 145 Gy
    • Pd-103: 125 Gy
    • Cs-131: 115 Gy
  • Outcomes:
    • 5-year biochemical PFS: 97.3%
    • 5-year overall survival: 95%
    • Late grade 3 GU: 4 patients
    • Late grade 3 rectal: 2 patients
    • No grade 4-5 events

 

RTOG 9805:

  • 101 low risk patients
  • I-125 monotherapy
  • 5-year outcomes:
    • Biochemical failure: 6%
    • Overall survival: 97%
    • Grade 3 acute: 8 patients
    • Grade 3 late GU: 2 patients

 

HDR monotherapy: Current evidence

Key advantages:

  • Optimal dose distribution
  • Real-time planning
  • No seed migration
  • Reduced radiation exposure

Common regimens:

  • 27 Gy/2 fx
  • 19 Gy/1 fx (not recommended)
  • 31.5 Gy/3 fx
  • Similar biologic doses to LDR

 

Available data:

  • Mount Vernon experience:
    • Phase II data
    • Low toxicity rates
    • Good early biochemical control
  • William Beaumont single fraction:
    • 19% local failure
    • Higher than expected
    • Single fraction not recommended

Limitations:

  • Limited long-term data
  • Multiple procedures for multi-fraction
  • Resource intensive