TWENTY YEARS

 

NBA REDRAFTED

Cheng En Li

R Ladies Meetup / 2017 April 24

OF THE

Subtitle

VORP

value over replacement player

An estimate of each player's overall contribution to the team, measured vs. what a theoretical "replacement player" would provide, where the "replacement player" is defined as a player on minimum salary or not a normal member of a team's rotation.

Data

1989 ~ 2008 NBA draft

  • Is there order in the draft?
  • Who are the biggest steals & busts?
  • What was the best draft class ever?

Is there

order

in the draft?

Year

Draft Rank

Should we expect higher picks to perform better?

A

C

B

  • Is there order in the draft?
  • Who are the biggest steals & busts?
  • What was the best draft class ever?

Who are the biggest steals & busts?

Putting a value on player movement to decide who are the biggest steals and busts of this era.

Actual Rank

in 1995

Redraft

5.7

16.4

12.8

37.5

94.0

94.0

37.5

29.2

27.2

16.4

The Steal / Bust value of Kevin Garnett is

94.0 - 16.4 = 77.6

1

2

3

4

5

1

2

3

4

5

The biggest steals

No.1

No.2

No.3

The biggest busts

No.1

No.2

No.3

  • Is there order in the draft?
  • Who are the biggest steals & busts?
  • What was the best draft class ever?

What was the best draft class ever?

Using average value for each year's draft picks to find the statistically best group.

More

  • Bullet One
  • Bullet Two
  • Bullet Three

Top Players of the best draft class

Focus on top 10 players

What about top 5 players?

  • Is there order in the draft?
  • Who are the biggest steals & busts?
  • What was the best draft class ever?

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