Ice Sheet and Ocean Modelling Workshop

10-11 November 2014

Preamble to discussion sessions

  • 2015 review of Australian Antarctic strategic plan  
  • 2015 http://conference.antarctica.gov.au/ 
  • Australian-New Zealand Antarctic Science agreement
  • Japan Society for the Promotion of Science

Discussion session 1

  • Around the table
  • Overview of next 3-5 years research
  • Key people missing?
  • Long term monitoring
  • Reanalysis of ice sheet and ocean
  • Ocean observing community
  • NECKLACE (ApRES), moorings
  • Regular 
  • Future predictions
  • Integrated observing system
  • ocean part championed by SooS
  • simulation of circulation under Amery
  • Step 1 in site selection: Modelling for site selection
  • Top 10 locations - MIP - National perspective to 10 year time frame
  • Sub ice shelf observation (integrated ocean observing system)
  • Mike W. on SooS steering group and Ross sea sector (China and NZ collaboration)
  • SooS state estimate and looking for change

Title Text

  • SooS deadline last week
  • Do modellers know enough about observations to say what is possible?
  • information about bed is biggest uncertainty (basal processes)
  • High resolution models - bathymetry
  • Sensitivity to bathymetry resolution, coupling, 
  •     how senstivit ar model solutions to observations
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multiple year plan:

  • Working towards integrated polar observing/modelling system (Aus-? and international)
  • step 1: Review papers (eg QSR on ice history), geographic (eg key processes (ice/ocean boundary, ice/bed boundary, continental shelf seas), Amery first focus, critique of Oz and NZ science strategic plan as white paper, inc. SCAR and other countries), synthesis  paper (focussed on SLR question)
  • step 2: identify big challenges - eg marine ice accretion, calving, GIA, subglacial freshwater, others? and our strategic advantage, understanding LGM interglacial (marine ice accsetion important).
  • step 3a: Modelling for site selection (both ocean and ice - icecap starting now!)
  • step 3b: Processes based modelling (testing)
  • step 4: System modelling
  • to do: Email list for oceania community list - 
  • SIRG-like monthly workshop


Follow up workshop ?

Mechanism?

15 year science strategic plan


    Discussion session 2

    • What do modellers need?
    • Resources
    • Observations (key science questions)
    • Approaches
    • ??

     

    What to do next:

    • Antarctic Science conference
    • Publish outcomes?
    • Mechanisms for continued development of community goals

     

     

     

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