The Free Syrian Army: moderate political path, numbers unknown
Islamic Front: est. 45,000 fighters, wants an Islamic State
Syrian Islamic Liberation Front: an alliance of smaller rebel groups
Jubhat al-Nusra: Wants an Islamic State in Syria, formerly tied with Al-Qaeda
Gained by ISIS
Areas lost by ISIS in 2015
Controlled by ISIS in 2015
Baghdad
Mosul
ISIS Areas 2015
ISIS captured a third of Syria's territory
Homs
Aleppo
Erbil
(NYtimes 2015)
ISIS December 2016
Why is ISIS so successful?
Yes, the security vacuum after the 2003 invasion gave ISIS space to form but also...
Iraqi politics since 2006
growing identity politics
did not support sunni tribal councils
government inefficiency and corruption
repression of protests
Growth of Shia' Militias
Profile of an ISIS fighter
Country | # of Fighters |
---|---|
Tunisia | 6,000 |
S. Arabia | 2,500 |
Russia | 2,400 |
Turkey | 2,100 |
Jordan | 2,000 |
France | 1,700 |
Morocco | 1,200 |
Germany | 760 |
United Kingdom | 760 |
The Atlantic, 2016
Profile of an ISIS fighter
Wakaz Hassan (22 years)
Fractured Lands, NYtimes: Kirkuk, Iraq
Humanitarian Crisis
53% of UNHCR's refugee population comes from somalia (1.1m), Afghanistan (2.7m), and Syria (4.9m)
In Iraq there are 3,062,808 Internally displaced people.
27, 616 Iraqis registered as refugees in Turkey
99, 140 Iraqis registered as Asylum seekers in Turkey