2 Two-Variable Regression Analysis: Some Basic Ideas
3 Two-Variable Regression Model: The Problem of Estimation
4 Classical Normal Linear Regression Model (CNLRM)
5 Two-Variable Regression: Interval Estimation and Hypothesis Testing
6 Extensions of the Two-Variable Linear Regression Model
7 Multiple Regression Analysis: The Problem of Estimation
8 Multiple Regression Analysis: The Problem of Inference
9 Dummy Variable Regression Models
GUJARATI AND PORTER (2008)
PART TWO Relaxing the Assumptions of the Classical Model
10 Multicollinearity
11 Heteroscedasticity
12 Autocorrelation
13 Econometric Modeling: Model Specification and Diagnostic Testing
Chapter I: Introduction
1.1 What is Eocnometrics?
1.2 Why a Separate Discipline?
1.3 Methodology of Econometrics
1.4 Types of Econometrics
1.5 Matheatical and Statistical Peerequisties
GUJARATI AND PORTER (2008)
PART THREE Topics in Econometrics
14 Nonlinear Regression Models
15 Qualitative Response Regression Models
16 Panel Data Regression Models
17 Dynamic Econometric Models: Autoregressive and Distributed-Lag Models
GUJARATI AND PORTER (2008)
PART FOUR Simultaneous-Equation Models
18 Simultaneous-Equation Models
19 The Identification Problem
20 Simultaneous-Equation Methods
21 Time Series Econometrics: Some Basic Concepts
22 Time Series Econometrics: Forecasting
GUJARATI AND PORTER (2008)
APPENDIXES
A A Review of Some Statistical Concepts
B Rudiments of Matrix Algebra
C The Matrix Approach to Linear Regression Model
D Statistical Tables
E Computer Output of EViews, MINITAB, Excel, and STATA
F Economic Data on the World Wide Web
SELECTED BIBLIOGRAPHY
1.1 What is Econometrics?
Econometrics = Economic Measurement
1.2 Why a Separate Discipline?
Economic Theory
Mathematical Economics
Economic Statistics
Mathematical Statistics
Experimental Data vs Observational Data
Q? Experimental Economics / Behavioral Finance
Anatomy of econometric modeling
1.3 Methodology of Econometrics (Classical vs Bayesian)
Statement of Theory or Hypothesis
Specification of the Mathematical Model of the Theory
Specification of the Statistical, or Econometric, Model
Obtaining the Data
Estimation of the Parameters of the Econometric Model
Hypothesis Testing
Forecasting or Prediction
Using the Model for Control or Policy Purposes
Example: Kaynes's MPC Model (Marginal Propensity to Consume)
1. Statement of Theory or Hypothesis
Keynes stated:
The fundamental psychological law . . . is that men [women] are disposed, as a rule and on average, to increase their consumption as their income increases, but not as much as the increase in their income.
In short, Keynes postulated that the marginal propensity to consume (MPC), the rate of change of consumption for a unit (say, a dollar) change in income, is greater than zero but less than 1.
Note: Chossing among (between) Competing Models
ex. Hall's Life-cycle Permanent Income Hypthesis
2. Specification of the Mathematical Model of the Theory
3. Specification of the Statistical, or Econometric, Model
4. Obtaining the Data
Proxy Variables: Y->PCE; X->GDP
5. Estimation of the Parameters of the Econometric Model
6. Hypothesis Testing
7. Forecasting or Prediction
8. Using the Model for Control or Policy Purposes
Control Variable: X
Target Variable: Y
1.4 Types of Econometrics
1.5 Mathematical and Statistical prerquisties
Appendix A: Basic Statistical Concepts
Appendix B: Matrix Algebra
Appendix C: Basic Regression Theory in Matrix Notation