TWENTY YEARS
NBA REDRAFTED
Cheng En Li
R Ladies Meetup / 2017 April 24
OF THE
Subtitle
VORP
value over replacement player
An estimate of each player's overall contribution to the team, measured vs. what a theoretical "replacement player" would provide, where the "replacement player" is defined as a player on minimum salary or not a normal member of a team's rotation.
Data
1989 ~ 2008 NBA draft
- Is there order in the draft?
- Who are the biggest steals & busts?
- What was the best draft class ever?
Is there
order
in the draft?
Year
Draft Rank
Should we expect higher picks to perform better?
A
C
B
- Is there order in the draft?
- Who are the biggest steals & busts?
- What was the best draft class ever?
Who are the biggest steals & busts?
Putting a value on player movement to decide who are the biggest steals and busts of this era.
Actual Rank
in 1995
Redraft
5.7
16.4
12.8
37.5
94.0
94.0
37.5
29.2
27.2
16.4
The Steal / Bust value of Kevin Garnett is
94.0 - 16.4 = 77.6
1
2
3
4
5
1
2
3
4
5
The biggest steals
No.1
No.2
No.3
The biggest busts
No.1
No.2
No.3
- Is there order in the draft?
- Who are the biggest steals & busts?
- What was the best draft class ever?
What was the best draft class ever?
Using average value for each year's draft picks to find the statistically best group.
More
- Bullet One
- Bullet Two
- Bullet Three
Top Players of the best draft class
Focus on top 10 players
What about top 5 players?
- Is there order in the draft?
- Who are the biggest steals & busts?
- What was the best draft class ever?
Thank you for your listening.
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