Who am I?

Welcome

Name and Surname:

Piotr Stapp

Experience in IT:

18 years

Position:
System Principal Architect

Specialization:

Cleaner, Cloud, Code, Infra

Distinguishing marks:

Don't Stapp me now!

Education

Mgr. Inż PW

MSc. Oxford

Experience

Experience

• Immisceo.dk - developer
• "Own company" - CxO 😂
• Warsaw University of Technologu - lecturer
• Betacom - from "junior" to "senior"
• Bre Bank - see below 🤷‍♂️
• mBank - from senior dev to IT Expert / manager
• FinAi - software architect / head architect
• Allegro - Senior Software Engineer 
• Allegro Pay (ex-FinAi) - see above 🤪
• Demant - Principal SAFe System Architect

At home ...

History

A Long Time Ago

but not so far away 😅

Jevons paradox

source: Wikipedia

The Jevons paradox was first described by the English economist William Stanley Jevons in his 1865 book The Coal Question. Jevons observed that England's consumption of coal soared after James Watt introduced the Watt steam engine, which greatly improved the efficiency of the coal-fired steam engine from Thomas Newcomen's earlier design.

Watt's innovations made coal a more cost-effective power source, leading to the increased use of the steam engine in a wide range of industries.

source: created by Gemini

What about IT?

1981 – "Programming Without Programmers"

The Hype (4GL/MAPPER): James Martin’s bestseller claimed the demand for software was so high we’d have to let "business users" click their own apps.

• 4GL examples: FOCUS, NOMAD, Ramis, and later PowerBuilder and Microsoft Access

• The Pitch: "Teach a railroad expert to use a computer, don't teach a programmer about railroads."

• The Reality: Rail experts wanted to manage trains, not debug logic errors.

• The Result: We are still here 😅

1970s/80s – SQL
The "Plain English" Savior

The Hype: SQL was marketed as a way for managers to talk to databases without an IT middleman.

• The Pitch: "Talk to your computer in plain English."

• The Reality: Normalization, Joins, and Optimization don't happen by accident.

• The Result: It didn’t kill programming; it created the multi-billion dollar Data Engineering & BI industry.

Feb. 16, 1987: SQL establishes dominance in database query language arena

1990s – CASE: Death to Manual Coding

The Hype (Computer-Aided Software Engineering): Drawing diagrams was supposed to replace writing lines of code.

• The Pitch: "Generate 100% of your code from a diagram."

• The Reality: Changing one arrow broke the universe. Debugging a diagram was a nightmare.

• The Result: We didn't fire coders; we hired "CASE Specialists" who cost twice as much.

source: Wikipedia - the example of CASE tool

2010s – The "NoOps" Myth

The Hype (Cloud/SaaS): AWS and Azure promised that developers would just "click a button" and sysadmins would vanish.

• The Pitch: "The end of the SysAdmin. Developers do it all."

• The Reality: Infrastructure became so complex (K8s, Terraform, Serverless) that we needed more specialists.

• The Result: Platform Engineering & DevOps salaries hit record highs.

source: ByteByteGo (or AI used by ByteByteGo

Why does it take so long?

Anthropic vision

Source: https://resources.anthropic.com/hubfs/2026%20Agentic%20Coding%20Trends%20Report.pdf

Is it true?

Source: https://blackswanfarming.com/cost-of-delay/ - Maersk Case Study

Source: https://www.plutora.com/blog/water-scrum-fall

Where are we?

You're just waiting for an AI hallucination or a stupid answer, right?

XKCD #2347

XKCD #2347 + reddit edit

XKCD #2347 + reddit edit + ...

So where are we?

TODO: run this prompt!
Dear LLM,

Please create an awesome slide about how AI is revolutionizing daily life by helping us with tasks like cleaning, washing, and cooking.

Will I lose my job as <position>?

New ones will appear on the market or your job evolve to something new.

Maybe

Of course, some jobs became redundant.

Yes

Some jobs and projects are still needed and will be for a very long time

No

As you can see it is not related to AI. It can be, but there are a lot of factors including geo-politics, not only AI.

Other

The end?