The time is right for electric cars.
In fact the time is critical.

Carlos Ghosn, CEO Renault & Nissan

Can China's EVs kill petrol?

Beijing is keen to cut pollution in the world's biggest car market.

Tesla boosted

Shares in Tesla have risen after Elon Musk said Model 3 would be ready by Friday, two weeks ahead of schedule.

Pollution Leads to
7 Million Deaths per Year.

Is this Acceptable?

UK Energy Consumption

147K in 1970

137K in 2016

UK Energy Sources

Heat & Noise

Chassis & Body

Under Utilisation

Driving Style

Gas Guzzling Inefficiency

100m new vehicles per annum

  • Circa 1 billion cars and light trucks on the road.
  • Consuming circa 250 billion gallons fuel yearly.

The Revenge of the EV

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1832-1839: First practical EV

1900-1912: EVs soar on US roads

1930s: EVs face extinction

Source: EV BOX

The Road to the
Roaring Twenties

  • 1901 Tarmacadam 
  • 1916 Federal Aid Road Act
  • 1921 Federal Aid Highway Act
  • 1924 US has 31,000 miles of paved road
  • 1925 The height of the "roaring twenties"
    • Motels & Drive-ins
    • Consumer Credit
    • Suburbia

Electric Vehicles - EV

Are overcoming barriers

  • High first cost
  • Limited range
  • Slow speed of recharging

Fuel Cell Vehicles - FCV

Suffer from all 7 of the sins.

  • Fuel cell vehicles available commercially in very limited quantities.
  • Difficult to engineer
  • Flammability of hydrogen
  1. Expensive
  2. Limited Range
  3. Slow Charging or Refuelling
  4. Few Stations for Fuel or Charge
  5. Safety and Liability
  6. Competition
  7. Apathy & FUD

Barriers to AFVs

1

H

7

Li

  • 565,000 sold in 2015
  • EVs have long had a per-mile fuel cost less than gasoline.
  • With renewable generation, EV's have holistic low emission.
  • On going improvements in
    • Range
    • Recharging
    • Initial Vehicle Cost
    • Perceptions
  • Renault/Nissan - Big Auto scale
  • Tesla - Silicon Valley boldness
  • Ather Energy - Indian confidence 
  • River Simple - British quirkiness
  • Uniti  - Nordic efficiency & design

Some of my Favourite EVs

Big Auto Scale

  • Company   Power
    • Tier 1 auto maker
    • 8.5M vehicles p/a (#4 globally)
    • $180B revenue. 450,000 employees
  • Market Power
    • A leader in the EV segment
    • 85,000/565,000 EVs sold in 2015
      => 15% of niche
      => 1% of group volume
  • Offer Power
    • Mid-low market vehicles.
    • Cars, vans, batteries & charging.
  • Execution  Power
    • ​Early to EV market & steady growth over several years.
    • Dampened by vested interest in gasoline cars.

Silicon Valley Boldness

  • Company   Power
    • $ 4B revenue. 13,000 employees.
    • 125,000 cars sold in 8 years.
    • 0.03% total market share
  • Market Power
    • A leader in the EV segment
    • 40,000/565,000 EVs sold in 2015
      => 7% of niche
    • 5M luxury vehicles sold per year, worth $220B
      => 0.6% of niche
  • Offer Power
    • More than an auto company
    • Electric luxury cars
    • Automotive components
    • Rechargeable energy storage systems
  • Execution  Power
    • Over promising & under delivering

British Quirkiness

  • Offer Power
    • 300 mile range
    • 3 minute recharge
    • Hydrogen-fuel cell vehicle
  • Execution  Power
    • ​Rasa prototype is on road.
    • Into production end of 2018.
    • Roll out across the UK town by town, in tandem with hydrogen refilling stations.
  • Company   Power
    • Pre-revenue. Crowd funding now.
    • <50 employees
  • Market Power
    • Founded OScar Automotive in 2001
    • Became Riversimple in 2007.

Indian Jugaad

  • Company   Power
    • Pre-revenue.
    • Circa 100 employees
  • Market Power
    • Founded early 2014
    • $1M seed funding Dec 2014
    • $12M series A May 2015.
  • Offer Power
    • Top speed of 72 kph
    • Range of up to 60 km
    • Charge up to 80% in 50 minutes.
  • Execution  Power
    • S340 unveiled on 23 Feb 2016.
    • Will start taking pre-orders by Q2 end 2016. Price yet to be disclosed.
    • Manufacturing will have the capacity to produce 50 scooters a day.

Nordic Efficiency & Design

  • Company   Power
    • Founded 2015 in Lund, Sweden
    • Pre-revenue. Crowd funding soon.
    • <50 employees
  • Market Power
    • Underpinned by world class research, engineering & automotive capabilities.
    • Tapping into open source communities.
    • Strong voice in social media.
  • Offer Power
    • Ultra sustainable
    • Two seats in tandem ( EU L7e  quadricycle)
    • 90km/h max speed, 150km range (weighing 400kg)
    • Induction or plug-in charge. Removable battery.
    • Unique driver experience
    • Designed for autonomy
  • Execution  Power
    • Kepler Pod floor show at Cebit Feb 2016.
    • Uniti Arc shipping May 2016.
    • Prototype car expected end of 2016.
  • On street charging posts
  • Electric Buses
  • Electric Trucks
  • Inductive Charging

Source: First Group

Source: Innoventum

Other Electrification in Transport

April 2017, deal worth $600+ million over several years.

Replacing lead acid batteries with hydrogen fuel cells makes forklift operation more efficient.

Wal-Mart have been a Plug Power customer for 3-4 years.

Every New Transit Bus Will Be Electric by 2030. We’re already beating and diesel and CNG on pricing.

Ryan Popple, CEO Proterra

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