Delegation in Veto Bargaining: An Experiment

Brandon Williams

Alistair Wilson

Richard Van Weelden

University of Pittsburgh

Behavioral and Experimental Brown Bag

Motivation

  • Many "bargaining" contexts exist in which a less-informed (about preferences) party must decide what to offer to a more-informed party.
  • For the proposers, offering more flexibility may result in the other party selecting a less favorable outcome... although not as bad as when their proposal is outright rejected.

Motivation

  • Many "bargaining" contexts exist in which a less-informed (about preferences) party must decide what to offer to a more-informed party.
  • For the proposers, offering more flexibility may result in the other party selecting a less favorable outcome... although not as bad as when their proposal is outright rejected.
  • This bargaining environment takes many forms:

Motivation

  • Many "bargaining" contexts exist in which a less-informed (about preferences) party must decide what to offer to a more-informed party.
  • For the proposers, offering more flexibility may result in the other party selecting a less favorable outcome... although not as bad as when their proposal is outright rejected.
  • This bargaining environment takes many forms:

Experimental Design

  • Constructed environment that models the veto bargaining framework: buyers and sellers
  • Sellers want to sell as many widgets as possible
  • Buyers have an ideal point X that determines the optimal purchase number of widgets
    • The seller is unaware of the ideal point
    • Both know the distribution from which the ideal point was determined
  • Buyer can always "walk away" and not buy anything

Experimental Design

Experimental Design

Experimental Design

Experimental Design

  • The buyer's optimal point is drawn from an urn, and the possible draws from the urn are known to both

Experimental Design

  • The buyer's optimal point is drawn from an urn, and the possible draws from the urn are known to both

Experimental Design

  • The buyer's optimal point is drawn from an urn, and the possible draws from the urn are known to both

Experimental Design

  • The buyer's optimal point is drawn from an urn, and the possible draws from the urn are known to both

Experimental Design

  • The buyer's optimal point is drawn from an urn, and the possible draws from the urn are known to both

Experimental Design

  • The seller is tasked with making an offer that maximizes their payoff, which is contingent on the buyer accepting the offer
    • In delegation treatment, the buyer can offer a menu range of options to buy
    • In take-it-or-leave-it treatment, the buyer can only offer a single point

Experimental Design

  • Within-subject
    • Varying distributions for the vetoer

Experimental Design

  • Within-subject
    • Varying distributions for the vetoer
    • Changing roles

Experimental Design

  • Between-subject
  • Within-subject
    • Varying distributions for the vetoer
    • Changing roles
No Chat Chat
Take-it-or-leave-it
Delegation

Experimental Design

No Chat Chat
Take-it-or-leave-it
Delegation

Experimental Design

No Chat Chat
Take-it-or-leave-it
Delegation
  • Proposer can make a single point offer
  • Vetoer must decide to accept or veto

Experimental Design

No Chat Chat
Take-it-or-leave-it
Delegation
  • Proposer can make a single point offer
  • Vetoer must decide to accept or veto
  • Participants can coordinate in advance of decisions

Experimental Design

No Chat Chat
Take-it-or-leave-it
Delegation
  • Proposer can offer a range of choices for the vetoer to consider
  • Vetoer can accept any of the options, or veto

Experimental Design

No Chat Chat
Take-it-or-leave-it
Delegation
  • Proposer can offer a range of choices for the vetoer to consider
  • Vetoer can accept any of the options, or veto
  • Participants can coordinate in advance of decisions

Experimental Design

  • Between-subject
  • Within-subject
    • Varying distributions for the vetoer
    • Changing roles
No Chat Chat
Take-it-or-leave-it
Delegation

Experimental Design

  • Between-subject
No Chat Chat
Take-it-or-leave-it
Delegation

Chat should bring meaningful improvement to coordination

  • Within-subject
    • Varying distributions for the vetoer
    • Changing roles

Experimental Design

  • Between-subject
No Chat Chat
Take-it-or-leave-it
Delegation

Chat should bring meaningful improvement to coordination

           Over-revealing vetoers?

           Over-credulous proposers?

  • Within-subject
    • Varying distributions for the vetoer
    • Changing roles

Experimental Design

  • Between-subject
No Chat Chat
Take-it-or-leave-it
Delegation

Chat shouldn't have much effect, but behaviorally uncertain

         

  • Within-subject
    • Varying distributions for the vetoer
    • Changing roles

Experimental Design

  • Between-subject
No Chat Chat
Take-it-or-leave-it
Delegation

Chat shouldn't have much effect, but behaviorally uncertain

          High types see no benefit

       Appeals to other regarding?

  • Within-subject
    • Varying distributions for the vetoer
    • Changing roles

Experimental Design

  • Between-subject
No Chat Chat
Take-it-or-leave-it
Delegation

Can chat create efficiency gains enough to reach delegation?

  • Within-subject
    • Varying distributions for the vetoer
    • Changing roles

Experimental Design

  • Between-subject
  • After 15 rounds, instead play against a robot player who simply optimizes response
  • Lotteries over the same domain
  • Within-subject
    • Varying distributions for the vetoer
    • Changing roles

Thank you!

Questions or Comments?

Theory

  • Full delegation optimal if proposer is sufficiently risk-averse and/or distribution of vetoer is decreasing on the interval

Theory

  • Full delegation optimal if proposer is sufficiently risk-averse and/or distribution of vetoer is decreasing on the interval
  • No delegation optimal if distribution of vetoer is increasing on the interval

Theory

  • Full delegation optimal if proposer is sufficiently risk-averse and/or distribution of vetoer is decreasing on the interval
  • No delegation optimal if distribution of vetoer is increasing on the interval
  • The optimal interval is increasing in risk aversion and decreasing in higher ex-ante alignment

Theory

  • Full delegation optimal if proposer is sufficiently risk-averse and/or distribution of vetoer is decreasing on the interval
  • No delegation optimal if distribution of vetoer is increasing on the interval
  • The optimal interval is increasing in risk aversion and decreasing in higher ex-ante alignment
  • Take-it-or-leave-it is strictly worse for proposer and often worse for both

Theory

  • Full delegation optimal if proposer is sufficiently risk-averse and/or distribution of vetoer is decreasing on the interval
  • No delegation optimal if distribution of vetoer is increasing on the interval
  • The optimal interval is increasing in risk aversion and decreasing in higher ex-ante alignment
  • Take-it-or-leave-it is strictly worse for proposer and often worse for both
  • Cheap talk does little for interval delegation but generates efficiency gains for take-it-or-leave-it

Literature

Models of similar bargaining forms have been proposed in theory...

  • Under complete information - Romer and Rosenthal (1978)   
  • Under cheap talk negotiation - Matthews (1989)
  • With valuable expertise involved - Holmström (1977)
  • More recently: Kartik, Kleiner, Van Weelden (2021)

 

Literature

Models of similar bargaining forms have been proposed in theory...

  • Under complete information - Romer and Rosenthal (1978)   
  • Under cheap talk negotiation - Matthews (1989)
  • With valuable expertise involved - Holmström (1977)
  • More recently: Kartik, Kleiner, Van Weelden (2021)

 

And used in experiments...

  • Early bargaining - e.g. Roth and Murnighan (1980, 1982)
  • Vetoes within committees - Kagel, Sung, and Winter (2010)
  • Multiple rounds of bargaining - Nunnari (2021)

Literature

Models of similar bargaining forms have been proposed in theory...

  • Under complete information - Romer and Rosenthal (1978)   
  • Under cheap talk negotiation - Matthews (1989)
  • With valuable expertise involved - Holmström (1977)
  • More recently: Kartik, Kleiner, Van Weelden (2021)

 

And used in experiments...

  • Early bargaining - e.g. Roth and Murnighan (1980, 1982)
  • Vetoes within committees - Kagel, Sung, and Winter (2010)
  • Multiple rounds of bargaining - Nunnari (2021)

Theory

The vetoer is drawn from a distribution on the interval

Theory

The vetoer is drawn from a distribution on the interval

Theory

The vetoer is drawn from a distribution on the interval

Theory

Status quo

v

Theory

Status quo

v

Theory

Status quo

v

Full Delegation

Optimal if:

  • Sufficiently risk-averse
  • Density type is decreasing

Theory

Status quo

v

No Compromise

Optimal if:

  • Vetoer density increasing

Theory

Status quo

v

Interval Delegation

Optimal if:

  • Unimodal distribution and linear loss utility

Theory

Status quo

v

Interval Delegation

Comparative statics

c*

Theory

Status quo

v

Interval Delegation

Comparative statics

  • Discretion ↑ in risk aversion

c*

Theory

Status quo

v

Interval Delegation

Comparative statics

  • Discretion ↑ in risk aversion
  • Discretion ↓ in ex ante alignment

c*

Theory

Status quo

v

Interval Delegation

c*

Theory

Status quo

v

Take-it-or-leave-it

c*

Theory

Status quo

v

Take-it-or-leave-it

c*

Strictly worse off

Theory

Status quo

v

Take-it-or-leave-it

c*

Strictly worse off

May be worse off

 

Theory

Status quo

v

Take-it-or-leave-it

c*

Strictly worse off

May be worse off

or better off

Theory

Status quo

v

Interval Delegation

c*

Theory

Status quo

v

Interval Delegation

c*

Acquiesce

Veto Threat

Theory

Status quo

v

Interval Delegation

c*

Acquiesce

Veto Threat

a_I^*

Theory

Status quo

v

Interval Delegation

c*

Acquiesce

Veto Threat

a_I^*

Optimal delegation allows for fewer veto results for the proposer than under cheap talk

Theory

Status quo

v

c*

Acquiesce

Veto Threat

a_I^*

Take-it-or-leave-it

Theory

Status quo

v

c*

Acquiesce

Veto Threat

a_I^*

Take-it-or-leave-it

Under take-it-or-leave-it, closer alignment can be achieved with cheap talk

Theory

Theory

0

1

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Theory

Proposer

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Theory

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Vetoer

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Theory

v

???

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1

Theory

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???

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1

Theory

v

Status quo

Theory

v

Status quo

Theory

v

Status quo

Theory

Status quo

Full Delegation

v

Theory

Status quo

No Compromise

v

Theory

Status quo

Interval Delegation

v

Theory

Status quo

Interval Delegation

v

Theory

Status quo

Interval Delegation

v

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