A random walk in Time Series Modeling

Andrew Carr
Elastic Engineer

About Me

About Me

Agriculture

 

PlaceHolder: Map

About Me

DevOps

Time Series Learning Resources

 

Great Learning Resources

 

Great Learning Resources

Calculus: 3Blue1Brown


Great Learning Resources

Financial markets and software engineering: Part Time Larry (YouTube)


Etherium Modelling

Overall Approach

 

Etherium Modelling

FastAI Model

 

50.3% Accuracy

Etherium Modelling

# Python
import pandas as pd
from prophet import Prophet

df = pd.read_csv('https://raw.githubusercontent.com/facebook/prophet/main/examples/example_wp_log_peyton_manning.csv')

m = Prophet()
m.fit(df)

future = m.make_future_dataframe(periods=365)
future.tail()

forecast = m.predict(future)
fig1 = m.plot(forecast)

Etherium Modelling

 

Trading bot currently running on AWS EC2 within Docker image

Etherium Modelling

Freqtrade: Currently Running

 

http://100.89.33.114:8080/trade

 

Etherium Modelling

Problems with current approach

 

Cannot beat market with limited data. Copy others?

Time to change market!

Future Plans

More Data and better Trained!

 

Future Plans

Utilisation of FastAI's tsai library

 

Future Plans

Modelling of Commodities

 

 

 

Questions?

 

References

ML Learning Resources

 

 

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By Andrew Carr

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