A random walk in Time Series Modeling
Andrew Carr Elastic Engineer

About Me



About Me
Agriculture
PlaceHolder: Map

About Me
DevOps


Time Series Learning Resources
Great Learning Resources




Great Learning Resources
Calculus: 3Blue1Brown

Great Learning Resources
Financial markets and software engineering: Part Time Larry (YouTube)

Etherium Modelling
Overall Approach


Etherium Modelling
FastAI Model
50.3% Accuracy

Etherium Modelling

# Python
import pandas as pd
from prophet import Prophet
df = pd.read_csv('https://raw.githubusercontent.com/facebook/prophet/main/examples/example_wp_log_peyton_manning.csv')
m = Prophet()
m.fit(df)
future = m.make_future_dataframe(periods=365)
future.tail()
forecast = m.predict(future)
fig1 = m.plot(forecast)


Etherium Modelling
Trading bot currently running on AWS EC2 within Docker image


Etherium Modelling
Problems with current approach
Cannot beat market with limited data. Copy others?
Time to change market!
Future Plans
More Data and better Trained!

Future Plans
Utilisation of FastAI's tsai library

Future Plans
Modelling of Commodities




Questions?


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By Andrew Carr
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