The Quest for
20% Return
What I learned
What I did
Principles
1. Pick Company, not stock
In the short run, the market is a voting machine, but in the long run, it is a weighing machine.
- Ben Graham
Picking Criteria
1. YoY revenue growth
2. High cash, no debt
3. Leader in field/disruptive
4. Price not "silly" (margin of safety)
5. ...Don't believe what I said - evolve over time
Avoid price anchoring
One of the most difficult thing is to invest even more when people think the stock is expensive
"A great company's stock is always expensive"
Concentrate - trim bottom 50% to avoid law of large numbers
2. Pay the price of volatility
Volatile portfolio
Over half of trading days since July with > ±3%
If it's Dow Jones -> 800-point change every other day.
98% times trading less than ATH
My stock is not making all time high today and that's ok
No margin
Margin call makes you sell at the bottom
Summary
1. Pick great companies and concentrate
2. Pay the price of volatility and don't use margin
References
1. Motley Fool - Saul's investing discussions
2. Charlie Munger's Poor Charlie's Almanack
3. Ben Graham's Intelligent Investor
4. Morgan Housel's The Psychology of Money
The 20% Quest
By Chang
The 20% Quest
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