Jesse Bloom PRO
Scientist studying evolution of proteins and viruses.
Fred Hutch Cancer Center / HHMI
These slides at https://slides.com/jbloom/polyclonal-mapping
I am on the scientific advisory boards of Apriori Bio, Aerium Therapeutics, Invivyd, and the Vaccine Company
I am an inventor on Fred Hutch licensed patents related to deep mutational scanning of viral proteins
In 1977, old H1N1 strain from ~1954 was inadvertently re-released and caused a global pandemic.
"One boy from Hong Kong had a transient febrile illness from 15 to 18 January. On Sunday 22 January, three boys were in the college infirmary… 512 boys (67%) spent between three and seven days away from class."
"Of about 130 adults who had some contact with the boys, only one, a house matron, developed similar symptoms."
Why some viruses evolve to escape immunity while others don't is a deep question outside scope of this talk. See here for some possible explanations.
Rate of viral antigenic evolution
Measles
Influenza
Rate of viral antigenic evolution
Measles
Coronaviruses
???
???
Influenza
Rate of viral antigenic evolution
Measles
Coronaviruses
???
???
Influenza
We decided to study another human coronavirus: CoV-229E causes common colds and has been circulating in humans for a long time.
We experimentally generated CoV-229E spikes at ~8 year intervals so we could study them in the lab:
- 1984
- 1992
- 2001
- 2008
- 2016
Note "ladder-like" shape of tree
Serum collected in 1985 neutralizes virus with spike from 1984, but less effective against more recent viruses.
Ideally vaccines would elicit more evolution-resistant sera as on the right.
Rate of viral antigenic evolution
Measles
CoV-229E
CoV-OC43
SARS-CoV-2
Influenza
CoV-229E has ladder-like tree:
Human influenza A evolves this way too. It's theoretically possible to pick single well-matched vaccine strain.
CoV-229E has ladder-like tree:
Human influenza A evolves this way too. It's theoretically possible to pick single well-matched vaccine strain.
CoV-OC43 split into two ladder-like lineages. Influenza B evolves this way too. It's theoretically possible to pick well-matched bivalent vaccine.
CoV-229E has ladder-like tree:
Human influenza A evolves this way too. It's theoretically possible to pick single well-matched vaccine strain.
CoV-OC43 split into two ladder-like lineages. Influenza B evolves this way too. It's theoretically possible to pick well-matched bivalent vaccine.
In non-ladder-like tree, next variant not descended from recent successful one. Makes picking vaccine strains difficult.
Sites of evolutionary change in the spike of CoV-229E over the last four decades
Sites of evolutionary change in the spike of CoV-229E over the last four decades
Sites of mutations in SARS-CoV-2 Omicron BQ.1.1 spike relative to Wuhan-Hu-1
Human CoVs, which evolve to escape transmission-blocking immunity, show strongest selection in RBD.
So virus is telling us RBD antibodies matter most for blocking transmission. Other antibodies and T-cells may reduce disease severity while putting less selection on virus.
Most neutralizing activity from RBD antibodies (although antibodies to other domains including NTD can also be neutralizing).
RBD mutations in Omicron BA.1
RBD
fluorescently labeled antibody
yeast
fluorescent tag on RBD
Experiments combine flow cytometry and deep sequencing of a library of yeast expressing all RBD mutants
For interactive escape map, see: https://jbloomlab.github.io/SARS-CoV-2-RBD_MAP_LY-CoV555/
484
452
490
Interactive version of this mini example is at https://jbloomlab.github.io/SARS2_RBD_Ab_escape_maps/mini-example-escape-calc/
LY-CoV555 is escaped at both sites 484 and 490, so mutating either site has same overall effect
Average escape across all antibodies
Interactive version of this mini example is at https://jbloomlab.github.io/SARS2_RBD_Ab_escape_maps/mini-example-escape-calc/
Escape calculator is described in Greaney et al (2022), and is available at https://jbloomlab.github.io/SARS2_RBD_Ab_escape_maps/escape-calc/
36 antibodies mapped by Tyler Starr & Allie Greaney in Bloom lab, from early SARS-CoV-2 strains
Escape calculator is described in Greaney et al (2022), and is available at https://jbloomlab.github.io/SARS2_RBD_Ab_escape_maps/escape-calc/
36 antibodies mapped by Tyler Starr & Allie Greaney in Bloom lab, from early SARS-CoV-2 strains
3,000 (!) antibodies mapped by Yunlong Cao et al at Peking University. From early strains, BA.1, & patients with prior SARS-CoV-1 infection. See here.
See this thread for an example of how key mutations in BA.2, BA.5, BQ.1.1, and XBB are all consistent with what would be predicted by these escape profiles.
By Jesse Bloom
Mapping viral escape from polyclonal serum