Katya Malinova PRO
I am an Associate Professor, Mackenzie Investments Chair in Evidence-Based Investment Management at the DeGroote School of Business, McMaster University, Canada.
DeGroote School of Business
McMaster University
Future Perspectives of Blockchains
Lucerne, April 18, 2024
Preliminaries & Some Motivation
Nokia's market shares for devices:
What happened and can it happen to banks?
What did they pay for?
What do people value?
If banks move all data into "the cloud," why do we need banks?
Financial Infrastructure
payments
stocks, bonds, and options
swaps, CDS, MBS, CDOs
insurance contracts
payments
stocks, bonds, and options
swaps, CDS, MBS, CDOs
insurance contracts
Siloed banks
Cloud computing and cloud storage
Open banking and open data
The past (and the present?)
The present and near future
3-5 years in the future
5-10 years in the future
Platforms?
Banks?
Tech firms?
The Business of Trading in a Decentralized World
payments network
Stock Exchange
Clearing House
custodian
custodian
beneficial ownership record
seller
buyer
Broker
Broker
Text
Liquidity providers
Liquidity demander
Liquidity Pool
\(\to\) simply connect with MetaMask (or similar wallet)
How does this look in practice?
average annual saving: $2.4 million
Source: "Learning from DeFi: Would Automated Market Makers Improve Equity Trading?" working paper, Malinova & Park 2023
Possible transaction cost savings if AMM applied to equity trading: \(\approx\) 30%
Source of savings:
UniSwap Lab supports development
a website app accesses the code
token holders control contact features
don't own the code
operation = decentral
control = decentral
anyone can use the baseline code
core code runs on the blockchain
tokens used as rewards
Blockchain-based Businesses?
liquidity \(\nearrow\)
volume \(\nearrow\)
protocol fees \(\nearrow\)
token value \(\nearrow\)
Platform economics is tricky:
Business Challenges
Additional common infrastructure challenges?
What value do these tokens have?
Economics of financing instruments
Lots of academic research on tokens!
Tokens as financing tools:
tokens as revenue claims lead to under-investment relative to equity
token retention by the entrepreneur as a tool to signal quality
developer incentives for continuous development
importance of future monetary policy
Chod and Lyandres (2021), Gan, Tsoukalas, and Netessine (2021a), Davydiuk, Gupta, and Rosen (2023), Canidio (2018), Catalini and Gans (2018)
Lots of academic research on tokens!
Tokens for platforms:
network effects, overcome coordination failures, accelerate adoption
transfer of governance rights from platform to users
speculators early on, users later
pre-sale allows for more surplus extraction for the entrepreneur, more projects to be financed
Li and Mann (2018), Bakos and Halaburda (2019), Sockin and Xiong (2023), Cong, Li, and Wang (2021) and Cong, Li, and Wang (2022) (asset-pricing based), Prat, Danos, and Marcassa (2023), Chod, Trichakis, and Yang (2022), Shakhnov and Zaccaria (2021),
Lee and Parlour (2022), Goldstein, Gupta, and Sverchkov (2022).
Tokens: summing up
evolving use: when do they stop being investment contracts?
Bringing TradFi to DeFi:
Asset Tokenization or
"The Creation of Asset-Linked Tokens"
Tokenization of stocks is nothing new: American Depository Receipts
foreign investor/
issuer
domestic bank with foreign representation
ADR issuing bank handles
Is this a workable model for blockchain- tokenization of existing assets?
foreign representation of domestic bank/ its custodian
domestic depository bank
S.E.C.
registration with form F-4
domestic broker
issues and cancels ADRs
domestic investor
lets investors own and trade ADRs
domestic
market
deposits shares
detailed review: Malinova and Park (2023) "Tokenized Stocks for Trading and Capital Raising" available on SSRN https://papers.ssrn.com/abstract=4365241
Blockchain Tokenization has many options
existing investor/
issuer
token issuance platform
investor
wallet
instruct to create tokens
deposits shares
custodian bank
deposits shares
creates tokens and sells to investors
centralized or decentralized
market
S.E.C.
registration
Use Case #1 for Tokenized Assets: Stablecoins
What do central bankers think about stablecoins?
BIS Survey of Central Banks (2021):
Advanced economies:
80%+: high potential or some potential for single-currency backed
Source: On-chain Foreign Exchange and Cross-border Payments by Austin Adams, Mary-Catherine Lader, Gordon Liao, David Puth, Xin Wan (2023) [team from UniSwap Labs]
DeFi fees:
Further Thoughts
The Development is Ongoing
@katyamalinova
malinovk@mcmaster.ca
slides.com/kmalinova
https://sites.google.com/site/katyamalinova/
By Katya Malinova
Presentation at Future Perspectives of Blockchains – Legal, Economic, Political and Technical Challenges and Prospects
I am an Associate Professor, Mackenzie Investments Chair in Evidence-Based Investment Management at the DeGroote School of Business, McMaster University, Canada.