Patrick Power PRO
Economics PhD @ Boston University
Motivation
Eviction Filing Rates exceed 10% in some areas (2010)
Costs of Eviction
Implicit Index of Housing Issues
Interested in the Costs of Eviction for these tenants
Eviction Filed
Causal Inference Challenge
Tenant's who are Evicted face two "Issues"
The underlying source for the eviction filing which may have lasting impacts
The Eviction Judgement
The timing of these events are likely to be relative close
Causal Inference Challenge
Judge-IV
Implicit Measure of Rental Issue of Tenant
Judge A
Judge B
Exploit Random Assignment to Judges
Results
Definition of Eviction
Eviction Timeline
New York
Cook County
Tenants
Landlords
Legal Representation Rate
New York
Cook County
Census
Credit Reports
Data Linking Match Rate
Note: I really like when this is mentioned in the introduction. I think you don't want to present the reader with any "surprises" about the data.
Baseline Characteristics
Reflect on why Diff-in-Diff is not likely to be a credible strategy in this setting
Judge IV
Source of Variation
Tenant
Judge
Controls include lagged dependent values, court by year F.E., back rent, race, gender, poverty rate, census tract rent
Consider: Why aren't the coefficients 1?
Which one is more important/interesting?
Housing Stability
Should we be surprised that the OLS estimates don't differ from the IV estimates?
Employment
You would think that estimate of OLS is biased down...
Financial Health
I would like to see something on the appearance rate
The Monotonicity Assumption
Latent Ranking of Tenants
Doesn't directly address
the monotonicity assumption
These are intended to be helpful to students reading the paper
"Measuring address-level moves at an annual frequency in the United States is challenging, particularly so for our population of unstably housed tenants. We believe these administrative data sets provide the best measures available."
Comment
"Although it is possible to outline assumptions under which bias is not a concern or under which the bias can be signed (see Heckman and Robb 1985), we instead rely on our quasi- experimental instrumental variables research design."
Comment
"Despite the large number of evictions and the growing policy interest, the consequences of eviction are not well understood."
Comment
Suggestion
"In New York, this indicator additionally includes applications to shelter, which cover instances where families are diverted or deemed ineligible"
Comment
"We first show that tenants in our linked housing court sample differ substantially from randomly chosen tenants who live in the same neighborhoods."
Comment
By Patrick Power