Partially Observable MDP

Definition

Graphical Model for POMDP:

POMDP is a 6-tuple \(<S,A,R,T,\Omega, O>\):

• \(S\) is a set of states
• \(A\) is a set of actions
• \(R: S \times A \to \mathbb{R}\) is a reward function
• \(T: S \times A \times S \to [0,1]\) is a transition function \(T(s,a,s\prime) =  P(S_{t+1}=s\prime|S_t=s, A_t=a)\)
• \(\Omega\) is a set of observations.
• \(O\) is a set of \(|\Omega|\) conditional probability distributions \(P(o|s)\)

Partially Observable MDP

 Exact Solution

A proper belief state allows a POMDP to be formulated as a MDP over belief states (Astrom, 1965)

Belief State update:

General Idea:

Belief Update        "Beilief" MDP        Plan with Value Iteration        Policy

Problems: 

• Need a model
• Can compute exact belief update only for small/simple MDP
• Can compute Value Iteration only for small MDP

Learning in POMDP

Choose your fighter

Learning in POMDP

Don't Give Up and Approximate

Approximate belief states:

• Deep Variational Belief Filters(Karl et al, ICLR 2017) 
• Deep Variational Reinforcement Learning for POMDPs(Igl et al, ICML 2018)
• Discriminative Particle Filter Reinforcement Learning(Ma et al, ICLR 2020)

(Ma et al, ICLR 2020)

Learning in POMDP

Look into the Future

Predctive State Representations:

• Predictive State Representations (Singh et al, 2004) 
• Predictive-State Decoders: Encoding the Future into RNN (Venkatraman et al, NIPS 2017)
• Recurrent Predictive State Policy Networks (Hefny et al, 2018)

Learning in POMDP

Relax and Use Memory

Window-based Memory:

• Control of Memory, Active Perception, and Action in Minecraft (Oh et al, 2016) 
• Stabilizing Transformers For Reinforcement Learning (Parisotto et al, 2019)
• Obstacle Tower Challenge winner solution (Nichols, 2019)* 

Memory as RL problem:

• Learning Policies with External Memory ( Peshkin et al, 2001)
• Reinforcement Learning Neural Turing Machines (Zaremba et al, 2015)
• Learning Deep NN Policies with Continuous Memory States (Zhang et al, 2015)

Recurrent Neural Networks:

• DRQN (Hausknecht et al, 2015)
• A3C-LSTM (Mnih et al, 2016)
• Neural Map (Parisotto et al, 2017)
• MERLIN (Wayne et al, 2018)
• Relational Recurrent Neural Networks (Santoro et al, 2018)
• Aggregated Memory for Reinforcement Learning (Beck et al, 2020)

Just add LSTM to everything

Off-Policy Learning (DRQN):

• Add LSTM before last 1-2 layers
• Sample sequences of steps from Experience Replay

On-Policy Learning (A3C/PPO):

• Add LSTM before last 1-2 layers
• Keep LSTM hidden state \(h_t\) between rollouts 

PPO+LSTM+RESOURCES

DRQN+LSTM+TRICKS

Asynchronous Methods for Deep Reinforcement Learning (Mnih et al,  2016) | DeepMind, ICML, 3113 citations

Deep Recurrent Q-Learning for Partially Observable MDPs

(Hausknecht et al, 2015) AAAI,  582 citations )

Just add LSTM to everything

Default choice for memory in big projects

"To deal with partial observability, the temporal sequence of observations is processed by a deep long short-term memory (LSTM) system"

AlphaStar Grandmaster level in StarCraft II using multi-agent reinforcement learning (Vinyalis et al,  2019) | DeepMind, Nature, 16 Citations

Just add LSTM to everything

Default choice for memory in big projects

"The LSTM composes 84% of the model’s total parameter count."

Dota 2 with Large Scale Deep Reinforcement Learning (Berner et al,  2019) | OpenAI, 17 Citations

R2D2: We can do better

DRQN tests two sampling methods:

• Sample full episode sequences
  • Problem: sample correlation in mini-batch is proportional to the sequence length 
• Sample random sub-sequences of length k (10 steps in the paper)
  • Problem: initial hidden state is zero at the start of a rollout

Recurrent Experience Replay in Distributed Reinforcement  Learning (Kapturowski et al,  2019) | DeepMind, ICLR, 49 citations

R2D2: We can do better

R2D2 is a DRQN build on top of Ape-X (Horgan et al, 2018) with addition of two heuristics:

• Stored state: Storing the recurrent state in replay and using it to initialize the network at training time
• Burn-in: Use a portion of the replay sequence only for unrolling the network and producing a start state, and update the network only on the remaining part of the sequence

Burn-in - 40 steps, full rollout - 80 steps

Recurrent Experience Replay in Distributed Reinforcement  Learning (Kapturowski et al,  2019) | DeepMind, ICLR, 49 citations

R2D2

Results: Atari-57

R2D2

Results: DMLab-30

Recurrent Experience Replay in Distributed Reinforcement  Learning (Kapturowski et al,  2019) | DeepMind, ICLR, 49 citations

AMRL

Motivation

Recurrent Neural Networks:

• good at tracking order of observations

• susceptible to noise in observations

• bad at long-term dependencies

RL Tasks:

• order often doesn't matter

• high variability in observation sequences

• long-term dependencies

AMRL: Aggregated Memory For Reinforcement Learning (2020) | MS Research, ICLR

AMRL:

Robust Aggregators

Add aggregators that ignore order of observations: 













Agregators also act as residual skip connections across time.

Instead of true gradients a straight-through estimator(Bengio et al., 2013) is used.

AMRL: Aggregated Memory For Reinforcement Learning (2020) | MS Research, ICLR

AMRL

Architecture and Baselines

AMRL: Aggregated Memory For Reinforcement Learning (2020) | MS Research, ICLR

AMRL

Experiments

AMRL: Aggregated Memory For Reinforcement Learning (2020) | MS Research, ICLR

AMRL

Experiments

AMRL

Experiments

AMRL: Aggregated Memory For Reinforcement Learning (2020) | MS Research, ICLR

Are rewards enough to learn memory?

• Learning only by optimizing future rewards

  • A3C/PPO + LSTM

  • DRQN, R2D2
  • AMRL

• What if we know a little bit more?

  • Neural Map (Parisotto et al, 2017)
  • Working Memory Graphs(Loynd et al, 2020,)

• Learing with rich self-supervised sensory signals

  • World Models (Ha et al, 2018, Mar 27*)
  • MERLIN (Wayne et al, 2018, Mar 28*)

MERLIN

Unsupervised Predictive Memory in a Goal-Directed Agent (2018) | DeepMind, 67 citations

MERLIN has two basic components:

• Model-Based Predictor

  • a monstrous combination of VAE and Q-function estimator

  • uses simplified DNC under the hood

• Policy

  • no gradients flow between policy and MBR

  • trained with Policy Gradients and GAE 

MERLIN

Architecture

Unsupervised Predictive Memory in a Goal-Directed Agent (2018) | DeepMind, 67 citations

MERLIN

Memory-Based Predictor

Prior Distribution

Module takes all memory from the previous step and produces parameters of Diagonal Gaussian distribution: 

Posterior Distribution

Another MLP \(f^{post}\) takes:

and generates correction for the prior:

 At the end, latent state variable \(z_t\) is sampled from posterior distribution.

MERLIN

MBR Loss

Model-Based Predictor has a loss function based on the variational lower bound:

Reconstruction Loss: 





KL Loss:

MERLIN

Experiments

MERLIN is compared against two baselines: A3C-LSTM, A3C-DNC

MERLIN

Experiments

Unsupervised Predictive Memory in a Goal-Directed Agent (2018) | DeepMind, 67 citations

Stabilizing Transformers for RL

Stabilizing Transformers For Reinforcement Learning (2019) | DeepMind

Stabilizing Transformers for RL

Gating Layer

Stabilizing Transformers For Reinforcement Learning (2019) | DeepMind

Stabilizing Transformers for RL

Experiments

Stabilizing Transformers For Reinforcement Learning (2019) | DeepMind

Stabilizing Transformers for RL

Ablation Study

Stabilizing Transformers For Reinforcement Learning (2019) | DeepMind

Episodic Memory

Motivation

Semantic memory makes better use of experiences (i.e. better generalization)

​Episodic memory requires fewer experiences (i.e. more accurate)

Episodic Memory

Experiment with Tree MDP

"We will show that in general, just as model-free control is better than model-based control after substantial experience, episodic control is better than model-based control after only very limited experience."

                                          (Lengyel, Dayan, NIPS 2008)

A Tree MDP is just a MPD without circles.

Episodic Memory

Experiment with Tree MDP

Text

Text

A) Tree MDP with branching factor = 2

B) Tree MDP with branching factor = 3

C) Tree MDP with branching factor = 4

Model-Free Episodic Control

Lets store all past experiences in \(|A|\) dictionaries \(Q_{a}^{EC} \)

\(s_t, a_t \) are keys and discounted future rewards \(R_t\) are values.

Dictionary update:

 

If a state space has a meaningful distance, then we can use k-nearest neightbours to estimate new \((s,a)\) pairs:

Model-Free Episodic Control (2016) | DeepMind, 100 citations

Model-Free Episodic Control

Lets store all past experiences in \(|A|\) dictionaries \(Q_{a}^{EC} \)

\(s_t, a_t \) are keys and discounted future rewards \(R_t\) are values.

Dictionary update:

 

If a state space has a meaningful distance, then we can use k-nearest neightbours to estimate new \((s,a)\) pairs:

Two possible feature compressors for \(s_t\): Random Network, VAE

Model Free Episodic Control

Results

Test environments:

• Some games from Atari 57
• 3D Mazes in DMLab

Neural Episodic Control

Deep RL + Semantic Memory

Differences with Model-Free Episodic Control:

• CNN instead of VAE/RandomNet

• Differential Neural Dictionaries (DND)

• Replay Memory like in DQN, but small...

• CNN and DND learn with gradient descent

Neural Episodic Control (2016) | DeepMind, 115 citations

Neural Episodic Control

Differential Neural Dictionaries

For each action  \(a \in A \), NEC has a dictionary \(M_a = (K_a , V_a )\).

Keys and Queries are generated by CNN

Neural Episodic Control

Differential Neural Dictionaries

To estimate \(Q(s_t, a)\) we sample p-nearest neighbors from \(M_a\)

\(k\) is a kernel for distance estimate. In experiments:

Neural Episodic Control

DND Update

Once a key \(h_t\) is queried from a DND, that key and its corresponding output are appended to the DND. If \(h_t \in M_a\) then we just store it with N-step Q-value estimate:

otherwise, we update stored value with tabular Q-learning rule:

Neural Episodic Control (2016) | DeepMind, 115 citations

Neural Episodic Control

Experiments

Neural Episodic Control

Experiments

Neural Episodic Control (2016) | DeepMind, 115 citations