Image from Management 3.0 ch.3
• Simple = Easily understandable
• Complicated = Very hard to understand
• Ordered = Fully predictable
• Complex = Somewhat predictable (but with many surprises)
• Chaotic = Very unpredictable
know your terrain
Making a shovel (simple terrain)
Ordered Problem
cooking the best chicken (rigid terrain)
stock market (dancing terrain)
Complex Problem
we live in a world of complex systems
What Makes a System Complex
Interdependent (how much you care)
Connected (how many friends you have)
Diverse (how different)
Adaptive (how fast you can change)
Picking what to wear (Interdependent)
if you don't give an f (Interdependent)
Picking what to wear if you care a bit (Interdependent +)
Picking what to wear if you care a bit a lot (Interdependent ++)
Emergence and agent based modeling
Feedback
Tipping Point
Large Events
How to harness Complexity
By Amr Draz