Dhrumil Mehta
Database Journalist, Politics @ FiveThirtyEight
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Being able to identify the:
And being able to communicate those effectively
are ALSO keys to being able to pitch a data-driven story
1. coincidence
3. common cause
2. causality reversed
Communicating Correlation
Correlation doesn't imply causation, but it does waggle its eyebrows suggestively and gesture furtively while mouthing 'look over there'.
What is the role of reporting?
What is the "best case scenario" headline?
Is this hypothetical "best case scenario" article newsworthy?
Will brighter prospects of congestion pricing spook car buyers and sellers in New York?
The impact of COVID-19 on garbage collection and sanitation in South Bronx
College Football in the Time of Covid: How Home Games Have Impacted College Towns in 2020 and 2021
What is a regression?
(Linear regression)
Linear Regression
Multiple Linear Regression
Logistic Regression
Etc...other types of models that are not regressions...
Construct | Measurement |
---|---|
How well you have grasped the learning objectives | 1-100 grade, letter grade, emojis, pass/fail |
What people think about a movie | 1-5 star rating or paragraph movie review |
... | |
... | |
How reliable a pollster is | ? |
What you're trying to measure
vs
How you're measuring it ⚠️
Empirical / quantitative social science on deadline
- Andrew Flowers (Former Quant Editor @ FiveThirtyEight)
Empirical / quantitative social science on deadline
- Andrew Flowers (Former Quant Editor @ FiveThirtyEight)
Being able to identify the:
And being able to communicate those effectively
By Dhrumil Mehta